Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Mississippi State vs. Florida Game – Saturday, Sept. 21

Published 12:23 pm Wednesday, September 18, 2024

SEC foes will battle when the Florida Gators (1-2) meet the Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-2). Keep reading for a look at the odds and best bets for this matchup.

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When and Where is Mississippi State vs. Florida

  • Date: Saturday, September 21, 2024
  • Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
  • City: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Mississippi State vs. Florida Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction: Mississippi State 29, Florida 26
  • Florida is -222 on the moneyline, and Mississippi State is +179.
  • Florida has been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.
  • The Gators have played as a moneyline favorite of -222 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Mississippi State lost the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
  • The Bulldogs have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +179 odds on them winning this game.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Gators’ implied win probability is 68.9%.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Mississippi State (+6)

  • So far this season Florida is winless against the spread.
  • The Gators have been favored by 6 points or more one time this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
  • Entering play this week, Mississippi State has one victory against the spread this season.

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (58.5)
  • No Florida game this season has ended up with a higher combined score than Saturday’s over/under of 58.5 points.
  • This season, Mississippi State has played one game with a combined score over 58.5 points.
  • The point total for the matchup of 58.5 is 0.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for Florida (27.3 points per game) and Mississippi State (32 points per game).

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Key Stats Splits

Florida

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 51.3 51.3
Implied Total AVG 33.0 33.0
ATS Record 0-3-0 0-3-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-2 0-0

Mississippi State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 59.5 59.8 59.0
Implied Total AVG 36.7 39.0 32.0
ATS Record 1-2-0 1-1-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 2-1-0 2-0-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

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