Saints vs. Falcons Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 4
Published 2:37 pm Saturday, September 28, 2024
The Atlanta Falcons will face the New Orleans Saints at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 29 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects that the Saints will win — keep scrolling for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.
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From an offensive standpoint, the Falcons rank 20th in the NFL with 307.3 yards per game. Meanwhile, they rank 18th in total defense (326.7 yards allowed per contest). The Saints are accumulating 343.3 total yards per game on offense this season (ninth-ranked). Meanwhile, they are surrendering 335.3 total yards per game (21st-ranked).
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Saints vs. Falcons Predictions and Picks
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Saints (+3) | Over (41) | Saints 22, Falcons 21 |
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Saints Betting Info
- The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 43.5%.
- New Orleans has won two games against the spread this season.
- The Saints have covered the spread when playing as at least 3-point underdogs in their only opportunity this season.
- This season, games featuring New Orleans have hit the over twice.
- The average total points scored in Saints games (playoffs included) this year (41) is five points higher than the total for this matchup.
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Falcons Betting Info
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 60.8%.
- Atlanta has a record of 1-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
- So far this season, none of Atlanta’s games have gone over the point total.
- The total for this game is 41, 4.2 points fewer than the average total in Falcons games thus far this season.
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Saints vs. Falcons 2024 Scoring Insights
| Pts | Pts Allowed | Home Pts | Home Pts Allowed | Away Pts | Away Pts Allowed | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 16.3 | 20.3 | 13.5 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
| Saints | 34.3 | 14.7 | 29.5 | 12.5 | 44 | 19 |
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