Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 6

Published 2:36 pm Saturday, October 12, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Oct. 13 at 1 p.m. ET — for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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The Buccaneers rank 10th in scoring offense (25.4 points per game) and 17th in scoring defense (22.8 points allowed per game) this year. The Saints’ defense ranks eighth in the NFL with 19.2 points given up per contest, but they’ve been led by their offense, which ranks fourth-best by racking up 28 points per game.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (+3.5) Over (42) Saints 25, Buccaneers 24

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Saints Betting Info

  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 40.0% chance of a victory for the Saints.
  • New Orleans has compiled a 3-2-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Saints have been an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • In 2024, three New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
  • The average total for Saints games (postseason included) is 44.5 points, 2.5 more than this game’s over/under.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Buccaneers a 64.9% chance to win.
  • Tampa Bay has compiled a 3-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Buccaneers have covered the spread once when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined to hit the over three out of five times this season.
  • The average total for Buccaneers games this season has been 44.1, 2.1 points higher than the total for this game.

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Saints vs. Buccaneers 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Buccaneers 25.4 22.8 25.7 20.7 25 26
Saints 28 19.2 29.5 12.5 27 23.7

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