NBA Best Bets: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Picks for November 17
Published 11:39 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024
The Memphis Grizzlies (7-6) are only 2.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game home win streak when they take on the Denver Nuggets (7-4) on Sunday, November 17, 2024 at FedExForum. The game airs at 6:00 PM ET on ALT and FDSSE.
Hoping to gain an edge on Sunday’s game? Check out the best bets available for this matchup (based on our computer predictions) in the following article.
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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Game Info
- When: Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 6:00 PM ET
- Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
- TV: ALT and FDSSE
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Best Bets
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Jaren Jackson Jr. Over 22.5 PTS
- The 22.5-point total set for Jaren Jackson Jr. on Sunday is 0.9 fewer points than his season scoring average.
- Jackson is 6-for-11 at going over his points prop total this season.
- The Grizzlies are the NBA’s fourth-ranked scoring squad (120.8 points per game), while the Nuggets are 24th in points conceded (116.5 per game).
- Memphis is 7-3 when putting up more points than 116.5.
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Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 PTS
- Nikola Jokic is averaging 29.7 points in the 2024-25 season, 4.2 more than Sunday’s prop total.
- This season Jokic is 5-for-12 at scoring more than the over/under set for him in terms of points.
- Denver’s squad is currently the fifth-ranked scoring team in the NBA (118.5 points per game), while Memphis is 19th in points conceded (113.7 per game).
- Denver is 7-1 when scoring more points than 113.7.
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Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 2.5)
- Against the spread, Memphis is 8-5-0 this season.
- Against the spread, Denver is 4-7-0 this season.
- As a 2.5-point favorite or greater, the Grizzlies have two wins ATS (2-4).
- The Nuggets are yet to lose ATS (2-0) as a 2.5-point underdog or more this season.
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Pick OU:
Over (227.5)
- Grizzlies games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 227.5 points nine times.
- The Nuggets have played eight games this season that ended with a combined score over 227.5 points.
- Memphis’ outings this year have an average point total of 228.7, 1.2 more points than this game’s over/under.
- Denver’s average game total this season has been 223.3, 4.2 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Grizzlies score the fourth-most points in the league this season, while the Nuggets’ offense puts up the 25th-most.
- This matchup features the league’s second-ranked (Nuggets) and 18th-ranked (Grizzlies) scoring defenses.
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Moneyline Pick: Grizzlies (-130)
- The Grizzlies have been favorites in eight games this season and won five (62.5%) of those contests.
- The Nuggets have split the two games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
- Memphis has a record of 3-3 when it’s favored by -130 or more by bookmakers this season.
- This season, Denver has come away with a win one time in two chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Grizzlies have a 56.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
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