Saints vs. Browns Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 11

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, November 16, 2024

Our computer model projects a victory for the New Orleans Saints when they face the Cleveland Browns at Caesars Superdome on Sunday, Nov. 17 at 1 p.m. ET — for more information regarding the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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Despite having a bottom-five defense that ranks fifth-worst in the NFL (385.6 yards allowed per game), the Saints have played better offensively, ranking 16th in the NFL by putting up 334.8 yards per game. The Browns rank fourth-worst in points per game (16.4), but they’ve been better on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 21st in the NFL with 23.7 points surrendered per contest.

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Saints vs. Browns Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-1) Toss Up (44.5) Saints 25, Browns 18

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Saints Betting Info

  • The Saints have an implied moneyline win probability of 52.4% in this contest.
  • New Orleans has put together a 4-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • The Saints have covered the spread once this season (1-2 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
  • New Orleans games have gone over the point total six out of 10 times this season.
  • Saints games this season have posted an average total of 43.5, which is one points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Browns Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Browns based on the moneyline is 52.4%.
  • Cleveland has put together a 3-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Browns have an ATS record of 3-3 when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season.
  • So far this season, three of Cleveland’s nine games with a set number have gone over the point total.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Browns games (41.4).

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Saints vs. Browns 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Saints 22.7 24.6 23.2 25.2 22.2 24
Browns 16.4 23.7 17 25.2 15.8 21.8

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