Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 4

Published 7:58 pm Tuesday, December 3, 2024

Wednesday’s contest features the No. 18 Pittsburgh Panthers (7-1) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-1) facing off at Humphrey Coliseum in what should be a close matchup, with a projected 77-76 win for Pittsburgh according to our computer prediction. Tipoff is at 9:15 PM ET on December 4.

Based on our computer prediction, Pittsburgh is projected to cover the point spread (5.5) versus Mississippi State. The two sides are expected to exceed the 149.5 total.

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Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2024
  • Time: 9:15 PM ET
  • TV: SEC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
  • Line: Mississippi State -5.5
  • Point total: 149.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -225, Pittsburgh +184

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Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Pittsburgh 77, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh

  • Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (+5.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (149.5)

Mississippi State is 4-3-0 against the spread, while Pittsburgh’s ATS record this season is 7-1-0. The Bulldogs have a 5-2-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Panthers have a record of 4-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams combine to score 170.1 points per game, 20.6 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 16.1 points per game (scoring 85 points per game to rank 34th in college basketball while allowing 68.9 per contest to rank 135th in college basketball) and have a +113 scoring differential overall.
  • Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It is collecting 35.9 rebounds per game (70th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 34 per outing.
  • Mississippi State makes 1.4 more threes per game than the opposition, 9.3 (78th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.9.
  • The Bulldogs rank 41st in college basketball by averaging 104.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 86th in college basketball, allowing 85 points per 100 possessions.
  • Mississippi State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 8.3 per game (third in college basketball play) while forcing 14.9 (49th in college basketball).

Pittsburgh Performance Insights

  • The Panthers are outscoring opponents by 18.6 points per game, with a +149 scoring differential overall. They put up 85.1 points per game (33rd in college basketball) and allow 66.5 per contest (80th in college basketball).
  • Pittsburgh wins the rebound battle by 7.2 boards on average. It records 35.5 rebounds per game, 87th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 28.3.
  • Pittsburgh hits 8.4 three-pointers per game (135th in college basketball) at a 33.8% rate (171st in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 per game its opponents make, at a 29.8% rate.
  • Pittsburgh has won the turnover battle by 2.6 per game, committing 9.4 (32nd in college basketball) while forcing 12 (197th in college basketball).

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