Saturday’s game at FedExForum has the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (9-2) matching up with the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at 12:30 PM ET (on December 21). Our computer prediction projects a close 77-76 victory for Memphis, so expect a competitive matchup.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi State is projected to cover the spread (1.5) against Memphis. The two teams are projected to come in below the 154.5 total.

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Memphis vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
• Time: 12:30 PM ET
• TV: CBS
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Memphis, Tennessee
• Venue: FedExForum
• Line: Memphis -1.5
• Point total: 154.5
• Moneyline (to win): Memphis -120, Mississippi State +100

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Memphis vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Memphis 77, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Memphis vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (154.5)

Memphis has put together a 7-4-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi State is 6-5-0. The Tigers have a 7-4-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Bulldogs have a record of 6-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams score an average of 163.6 points per game, 9.1 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Memphis Performance Insights

• The Tigers’ +42 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.5 points per game (97th in college basketball) while giving up 75.7 per outing (288th in college basketball).
• Memphis ranks 230th in the nation at 32.3 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 more than the 30.8 its opponents average.
• Memphis hits 1.3 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 8.2 (156th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 9.5.
• The Tigers’ 98.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 127th in college basketball, and the 94.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 263rd in college basketball.
• Memphis and its opponents have been mostly even in the turnover battle. The Tigers commit 13.5 per game (318th in college basketball) and force 12.7 (143rd in college basketball play).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +180 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 16.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 84.1 points per game (37th in college basketball) while giving up 67.7 per outing (96th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 5.3 boards on average. It collects 37.0 rebounds per game, 33rd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.7.
• Mississippi State knocks down 9.0 three-pointers per game (88th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 4.9 per game, committing 8.6 (second in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.5.

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