Mississippi State vs. Memphis Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – December 21

Published 3:58 pm Friday, December 20, 2024

Saturday’s contest at FedExForum has the No. 21 Memphis Tigers (9-2) taking on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-1) at 12:30 PM ET (on December 21). Our computer prediction projects a close 77-76 win for Memphis, so expect a tight matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Memphis projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The total is listed at 150.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Venue: FedExForum
  • Line: Mississippi State -1.5
  • Point total: 150.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -125, Memphis +104

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Mississippi State vs. Memphis Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Memphis 77, Mississippi State 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Memphis

  • Pick ATS: Memphis (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (150.5)

Mississippi State has a 6-5-0 record against the spread this season compared to Memphis, who is 7-4-0 ATS. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Bulldogs are 6-5-0 and the Tigers are 7-4-0. The two teams score 163.6 points per game, 13.1 more points than this matchup’s total.

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 16.4 points per game with a +180 scoring differential overall. They put up 84.1 points per game (37th in college basketball) and give up 67.7 per contest (97th in college basketball).
  • Mississippi State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It is grabbing 37 rebounds per game (32nd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.7 per outing.
  • Mississippi State makes 9 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
  • The Bulldogs put up 106 points per 100 possessions (26th in college basketball), while giving up 85.3 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball).
  • Mississippi State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 8.6 per game (third in college basketball play) while forcing 13.5 (85th in college basketball).

Memphis Performance Insights

  • The Tigers’ +42 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.8 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.5 points per game (96th in college basketball) while giving up 75.7 per contest (288th in college basketball).
  • Memphis records 32.3 rebounds per game (229th in college basketball) while allowing 30.8 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.5 boards per game.
  • Memphis knocks down 8.2 three-pointers per game (155th in college basketball), 1.3 fewer than its opponents.
  • Memphis forces 12.7 turnovers per game (143rd in college basketball) while committing 13.5 (317th in college basketball).

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