Thursday’s contest at Memorial Coliseum has the No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats (11-1) squaring off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) at 7:00 PM (on January 2). Our computer prediction projects a 69-64 win for Kentucky, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The over/under has been set at 135.5, and the two sides are projected to fall short of that total.

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 2, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Lexington-Fayette, Kentucky
• Venue: Memorial Coliseum
• Line: Kentucky -1.5
• Point total: 135.5
• Moneyline (to win): Kentucky -140, Mississippi State +115

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Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Kentucky 69, Mississippi State 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Kentucky vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (135.5)

The teams score an average of 157.3 points per game, 21.8 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats’ +256 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 21.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.4 points per game (39th in college basketball) while giving up 57.1 per outing (53rd in college basketball).
• The 38.8 rebounds per game Kentucky averages rank 23rd in the nation, and are 9.8 more than the 29 its opponents record per contest.
• Kentucky connects on 7.8 three-pointers per game (59th in college basketball) at a 29.6% rate (227th in college basketball), compared to the 4.8 per game its opponents make at a 24.9% rate.
• The Wildcats rank 34th in college basketball with 95.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 45th in college basketball defensively with 69.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Kentucky has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 12.2 per game (23rd in college basketball play) while forcing 13.3 (322nd in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +378 scoring differential, topping opponents by 27.0 points per game. They’re putting up 78.9 points per game, 35th in college basketball, and are giving up 51.9 per contest to rank sixth in college basketball.
• Mississippi State is 10th in college basketball at 40.5 rebounds per game. That’s 14.6 more than the 25.9 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State connects on 6.8 three-pointers per game (124th in college basketball) at a 32.4% rate (135th in college basketball), compared to the 5.6 per game its opponents make, at a 24.5% rate.
• Mississippi State has committed 16.4 turnovers per game (198th in college basketball), 1.2 fewer than the 17.6 it forces (107th in college basketball).

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