Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 4
Published 3:58 pm Friday, January 3, 2025
Saturday’s game features the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-1, 0-0 SEC) and the South Carolina Gamecocks (10-3, 0-0 SEC) clashing at Humphrey Coliseum in what should be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 79-68 win for heavily favored Mississippi State according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 2:00 PM ET on January 4.
Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi State projects to cover the 9.5-point spread in its matchup against South Carolina. The over/under is currently listed at 142.5, and the two teams are projected to hit the over.
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Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Game Info & Odds
- Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
- Time: 2:00 PM ET
- TV: SEC Network
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Starkville, Mississippi
- Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
- Line: Mississippi State -9.5
- Point total: 142.5
- Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -581, South Carolina +420
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Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Mississippi State 79, South Carolina 68
Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. South Carolina
- Pick ATS: Mississippi State (-9.5)
- Pick OU: Over (142.5)
Mississippi State’s record against the spread this season is 7-6-0, and South Carolina’s is 6-7-0. The Bulldogs have hit the over in seven games, while Gamecocks games have gone over six times. The teams average 159.5 points per game, 17.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in the last 10 games. South Carolina has gone 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 games.
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Mississippi State Performance Insights
- The Bulldogs have a +207 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.9 points per game. They’re putting up 83.9 points per game to rank 35th in college basketball and are giving up 68.0 per outing to rank 101st in college basketball.
- Mississippi State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.7 boards. It is pulling down 37.2 rebounds per game (25th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.5 per contest.
- Mississippi State makes 9.0 three-pointers per game (92nd in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (158th in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 per game its opponents make at a 35.5% rate.
- The Bulldogs record 105.3 points per 100 possessions (36th in college basketball), while giving up 85.3 points per 100 possessions (70th in college basketball).
- Mississippi State has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 9.1 per game (12th in college basketball action) while forcing 14.1 (52nd in college basketball).
South Carolina Performance Insights
- The Gamecocks have a +130 scoring differential, topping opponents by 10.0 points per game. They’re putting up 75.6 points per game, 185th in college basketball, and are allowing 65.6 per contest to rank 52nd in college basketball.
- South Carolina averages 32.8 rebounds per game (200th in college basketball) while conceding 29.9 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.9 boards per game.
- South Carolina makes 7.8 three-pointers per game (186th in college basketball), 2.2 more than its opponents.
- South Carolina forces 10.3 turnovers per game (314th in college basketball) while committing 10.6 (96th in college basketball).
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