Warriors vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 4

Published 9:19 pm Friday, January 3, 2025

The Golden State Warriors (17-16) take the court against the Memphis Grizzlies (23-12) as only 2.5-point favorites on Saturday, January 4, 2025 at 8:30 PM ET on NBCS-BA and FDSSE.

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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: NBCS-BA and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Venue: Chase Center

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Warriors vs. Grizzlies Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Grizzlies 116 – Warriors 115

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Spread & Total Prediction for Warriors vs. Grizzlies

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Grizzlies (-0.9)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (234.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 230.5
  • The Grizzlies (23-12-0 ATS) have covered the spread 51.5% of the time, 14.2% more often than the Warriors (17-16-0) this season.
  • Golden State (7-9) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (43.8%) than Memphis (6-4) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (60%).
  • When it comes to topping the over/under in 2024-25, Memphis and its opponents are more successful (62.9% of the time) than Golden State and its opponents (42.4%).
  • The Warriors have a .647 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (11-6) this season, better than the .455 winning percentage for the Grizzlies as a moneyline underdog (5-6).

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Warriors Performance Insights

  • So far this season, the Warriors are posting 112.3 points per game (13th-ranked in NBA) and giving up 110.4 points per contest (ninth-ranked).
  • Although Golden State is allowing 45.4 rebounds per game (fifth-worst in NBA), it ranks third-best in the league by pulling down 47.2 rebounds per contest.
  • So far this season, the Warriors rank sixth in the league in assists, putting up 28.8 per game.
  • Golden State is committing 13.4 turnovers per game (10th-ranked in league). It is forcing 14.3 turnovers per contest (11th-ranked).
  • The Warriors rank fifth-best in the NBA by sinking 15 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage, they rank 15th in the league at 36.5%.

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • The Grizzlies are the best squad in the NBA in points scored (123.5 per game) and 21st in points conceded (114.8).
  • Memphis is the second-best team in the league in rebounds per game (48.7) and is ranked 11th in rebounds conceded (43.7).
  • With 30.5 assists per game, the Grizzlies are second-best in the NBA.
  • Memphis is the second-worst team in the league in turnovers per game (16.5) but fifth-best in turnovers forced (15.7).
  • Beyond the arc, the Grizzlies are seventh in the league in 3-pointers made per game (14.3). They are 11th in 3-point percentage at 37%.

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