Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 7
Published 3:58 pm Monday, January 6, 2025
Tuesday’s contest at Memorial Gymnasium has the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1, 1-0 SEC) taking on the Vanderbilt Commodores (13-1, 1-0 SEC) at 9:00 PM ET (on January 7). Our computer prediction projects a narrow 77-76 win for Mississippi State, so it should be a tight matchup.
According to our computer prediction, Vanderbilt projects to cover the 1.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The over/under has been set at 155.5, and the two teams are projected to come in below that total.
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Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Game Info & Odds
- Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2025
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPNU
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Nashville, Tennessee
- Venue: Memorial Gymnasium
- Line: Mississippi State -1.5
- Point total: 155.5
- Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -122, Vanderbilt +102
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Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Score Prediction
- Prediction:
Mississippi State 77, Vanderbilt 76
Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt
- Pick ATS: Vanderbilt (+1.5)
- Pick OU: Under (155.5)
Mississippi State is 8-6-0 against the spread this season compared to Vanderbilt’s 11-3-0 ATS record. Both the Bulldogs and the Commodores are 7-7-0 in terms of going over the point total in their games this season. The two teams score 170.1 points per game, 14.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall over the past 10 contests. Vanderbilt has gone 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its last 10 games.
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Mississippi State Performance Insights
- The Bulldogs average 84.0 points per game (29th in college basketball) while giving up 66.7 per outing (68th in college basketball). They have a +242 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 17.3 points per game.
- Mississippi State records 37.4 rebounds per game (18th in college basketball) while allowing 31.2 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.2 boards per game.
- Mississippi State makes 8.9 three-pointers per game (90th in college basketball) at a 34.1% rate (167th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per game its opponents make at a 34.0% rate.
- The Bulldogs average 105.7 points per 100 possessions (27th in college basketball), while allowing 83.9 points per 100 possessions (41st in college basketball).
- Mississippi State has committed 9.1 turnovers per game (10th in college basketball action), 5.0 fewer than the 14.1 it forces on average (44th in college basketball).
Vanderbilt Performance Insights
- The Commodores are outscoring opponents by 19.6 points per game, with a +274 scoring differential overall. They put up 86.1 points per game (14th in college basketball) and give up 66.5 per contest (64th in college basketball).
- Vanderbilt ranks 130th in the country at 33.9 rebounds per game. That’s 3.3 more than the 30.6 its opponents average.
- Vanderbilt knocks down 2.1 more threes per contest than the opposition, 8.7 (106th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6.
- Vanderbilt has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 9.3 per game (18th in college basketball) while forcing 15.4 (19th in college basketball).
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