Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – January 7

Published 3:58 pm Monday, January 6, 2025

Tuesday’s contest between the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1, 1-0 SEC) and Vanderbilt Commodores (13-1, 1-0 SEC) going head to head at Memorial Gymnasium has a projected final score of 77-76 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Mississippi State, so expect a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 9:00 PM ET on January 7.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi State should cover the spread, which is currently listed at 1.5. The two teams are projected to go under the 156.5 total.

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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Tuesday, January 7, 2025
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV: ESPNU
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Venue: Memorial Gymnasium
  • Line: Vanderbilt -1.5
  • Point total: 156.5
  • Moneyline (to win): Vanderbilt -132, Mississippi State +110

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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Mississippi State 77, Vanderbilt 76

Spread & Total Prediction for Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State

  • Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (156.5)

Vanderbilt has put together an 11-3-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi State is 8-6-0. Both the Commodores and the Bulldogs are 7-7-0 in terms of hitting the over in their games this season. The teams average 170.1 points per game, 13.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Vanderbilt is 9-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in its past 10 games, while Mississippi State has gone 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

Bet on this or any men’s college basketball matchup at BetMGM.

Vanderbilt Performance Insights

  • The Commodores are outscoring opponents by 19.6 points per game with a +274 scoring differential overall. They put up 86.1 points per game (14th in college basketball) and allow 66.5 per outing (64th in college basketball).
  • The 33.9 rebounds per game Vanderbilt averages rank 131st in the country, and are 3.3 more than the 30.6 its opponents record per outing.
  • Vanderbilt knocks down 8.7 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball), 2.1 more than its opponents (6.6). It is shooting 33.3% from deep (210th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 33.3%.
  • The Commodores rank 13th in college basketball by averaging 107.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 34th in college basketball, allowing 83.3 points per 100 possessions.
  • Vanderbilt has committed 9.3 turnovers per game (18th in college basketball play), 6.1 fewer than the 15.4 it forces on average (18th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

  • The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 17.3 points per game (posting 84.0 points per game, 29th in college basketball, and conceding 66.7 per outing, 68th in college basketball) and have a +242 scoring differential.
  • Mississippi State grabs 37.4 rebounds per game (18th in college basketball) while allowing 31.2 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 6.2 boards per game.
  • Mississippi State hits 8.9 three-pointers per game (90th in college basketball) at a 34.1% rate (166th in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 per game its opponents make, at a 34.0% rate.
  • Mississippi State has had fewer turnovers than its opponents this season, committing 9.1 per game (10th in college basketball) while forcing 14.1 (44th in college basketball).

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