Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 11

Published 9:18 pm Friday, January 10, 2025

The Minnesota Timberwolves (20-17) are favored (-1.5) to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (24-14) at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at Target Center. The matchup airs on FDSN and FDSSE.

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: FDSN and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Venue: Target Center

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Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Timberwolves 114 – Grizzlies 113

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Spread & Total Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

  • Pick ATS: Grizzlies (+ 1.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Timberwolves (-0.3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (228.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.9
  • The Grizzlies’ .632 ATS win percentage (24-14-0 ATS Record) is higher than the Timberwolves’ .405 mark (15-22-0 ATS Record) in 2024-25.
  • Minnesota covers the spread when it is a 1.5-point favorite or more 38.7% of the time. That’s less often than Memphis covers as an underdog of 1.5 or more (58.3%).
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total 45.9% of the time this season (17 out of 37), less often than Memphis’ games have (24 out of 38).
  • As a moneyline underdog this season, the Grizzlies are 5-7, while the Timberwolves are 18-13 as moneyline favorites.

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Timberwolves Performance Insights

  • The Timberwolves own a top-five defense this year, ranking fourth-best in the league with 107.2 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 22nd with 108.9 points scored per contest.
  • Minnesota is pulling down 43.6 boards per game (18th-ranked in league). It is ceding 43.3 rebounds per contest (eighth-ranked).
  • The Timberwolves rank 22nd in the NBA with 24.7 assists per contest.
  • So far this year, Minnesota is committing 15.0 turnovers per game (21st-ranked in NBA) and forcing 14.2 turnovers per contest (13th-ranked).
  • The Timberwolves have been shining when it comes to three-point shooting this season, ranking fourth-best in the NBA in threes per game (15.1) and fourth-best in three-point percentage (37.7%).

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Grizzlies are the best team in the league (122.9 points per game). On defense, they are 21st (114.8 points conceded per game).
  • In 2024-25, Memphis is second-best in the NBA in rebounds (48.6 per game) and 10th in rebounds conceded (43.5).
  • This season the Grizzlies are second-best in the league in assists at 30.0 per game.
  • Memphis is the second-worst team in the league in turnovers per game (16.6) but fifth-best in turnovers forced (15.7).
  • With 13.9 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 36.8% from downtown, the Grizzlies are 12th and 10th in the NBA, respectively, in those categories.

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