Thursday’s contest between the No. 15 Tennessee Volunteers (14-2) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3) at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 82-69 (according to our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Tennessee, so it should be a one-sided matchup. The game will begin at 7:00 PM ET on January 16.

Based on our computer prediction, Tennessee projects to cover the 11.5-point spread in its matchup against Mississippi State. The over/under is listed at 159.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -11.5
• Point total: 159.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -752, Mississippi State +525

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 82, Mississippi State 69

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Tennessee (-11.5)
• Pick OU: Under (159.5)

Tennessee has put together a 4-3-0 record against the spread this season, while Mississippi State is 0-2-0. A total of four out of the Volunteers’ games this season have hit the over, and two of the Bulldogs’ games have gone over. The teams score an average of 174.2 points per game, 14.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Tennessee has a 4-3 record against the spread while going 5-2 overall. Mississippi State has gone 0-2 against the spread and 0-2 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers outscore opponents by 28 points per game (scoring 96.4 points per game to rank first in college basketball while allowing 68.4 per outing to rank 268th in college basketball) and have a +447 scoring differential overall.
• Tennessee grabs 39.4 rebounds per game (10th in college basketball) while allowing 30.1 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.3 boards per game.
• Tennessee makes 12 three-pointers per game (first in college basketball) while shooting 33.3% from beyond the arc (104th in college basketball). It is making 7.4 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 4.6 per game while shooting 26.1%.
• The Volunteers rank seventh in college basketball with 101.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 49th in college basketball defensively with 71.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee wins the turnover battle by 10.0 per game, committing 14.4 (99th in college basketball) while its opponents average 24.4.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 19.1 points per game (posting 77.8 points per game, 35th in college basketball, and conceding 58.7 per outing, 67th in college basketball) and have a +344 scoring differential.
• The 39.3 rebounds per game Mississippi State accumulates rank 12th in the country, 11.7 more than the 27.6 its opponents record.
• Mississippi State knocks down 6.9 three-pointers per game (112th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 33.2% from deep, and its opponents shoot 28.9%.
• Mississippi State forces 16.6 turnovers per game (147th in college basketball) while committing 15.9 (179th in college basketball).

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