Saturday’s game at Humphrey Coliseum has the No. 15 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3, 2-2 SEC) matching up with the No. 21 Ole Miss Rebels (15-2, 4-0 SEC) at 6:00 PM ET (on January 18). Our computer prediction projects a close 75-73 win for Mississippi State, so it should be a competitive matchup.

Based on our computer prediction, Ole Miss projects to cover the 5.5-point spread in its matchup against Mississippi State. The total is listed at 145.5, and the two sides are projected to hit the over.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -5.5
• Point total: 145.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -235, Ole Miss +190

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 75, Ole Miss 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss

• Pick ATS: Ole Miss (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Mississippi State’s record against the spread this season is 9-8-0, and Ole Miss’ is 12-5-0. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Bulldogs are 9-8-0 and the Rebels are 6-11-0. The two teams average 161.5 points per game, 16.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall over its past 10 games, while Ole Miss has gone 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 13.3 points per game with a +227 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.8 points per game (30th in college basketball) and give up 69.5 per outing (119th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 5.3 boards. It is grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game (23rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.5 per contest.
• Mississippi State makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (106th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.0. It shoots 32.7% from deep while its opponents hit 34.8% from long range.
• The Bulldogs rank 41st in college basketball with 103.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 75th in college basketball defensively with 87.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has committed 4.2 fewer turnovers per game than its opponents, averaging 9.4 (14th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.6 (55th in college basketball).

Ole Miss Performance Insights

• The Rebels are outscoring opponents by 14.1 points per game, with a +240 scoring differential overall. They put up 78.7 points per game (91st in college basketball) and allow 64.6 per outing (31st in college basketball).
• Ole Miss records 31.9 rebounds per game (226th in college basketball), compared to the 31.5 of its opponents.
• Ole Miss knocks down 8.8 three-pointers per game (88th in college basketball), 1.7 more than its opponents. It shoots 35.4% from beyond the arc (99th in college basketball), and its opponents are shooting 29.1%.
• Ole Miss has typically won the turnover battle this season, committing 8.8 per game (fifth in college basketball) while forcing 15.2 (18th in college basketball).

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