Thursday’s game between the Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-7) and Arkansas Razorbacks (9-15) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 79-64 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of heavily favored Mississippi State, so it should be a lopsided matchup. The game will tip off at 7:30 PM ET on February 6.

According to our computer prediction, Arkansas should cover the point spread, which is currently listed at 19.5. The two sides are projected to fall short of the 148.5 over/under.

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Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 6, 2025
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -19.5
• Point total: 148.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -10000, Arkansas +1700

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Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 79, Arkansas 64

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Arkansas

• Pick ATS: Arkansas (+19.5)
• Pick OU: Under (148.5)

Mississippi State is 1-6-0 against the spread, while Arkansas’ ATS record this season is 5-6-0. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Bulldogs are 4-3-0 and the Razorbacks are 8-3-0. The teams score 147.3 points per game combined, 1.2 fewer than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State is 1-6 against the spread and 1-6 overall over its last 10 contests, while Arkansas has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs outscore opponents by 15.2 points per game (scoring 77.3 points per game to rank 34th in college basketball while giving up 62.1 per outing to rank 125th in college basketball) and have a +348 scoring differential overall.
• Mississippi State pulls down 38.4 rebounds per game (11th in college basketball) while conceding 28.7 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.7 boards per game.
• Mississippi State connects on 7 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.8. It shoots 33.1% from deep while its opponents hit 30.2% from long range.
• The Bulldogs rank 52nd in college basketball with 92.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 60th in college basketball defensively with 74.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State forces 15.8 turnovers per game (162nd in college basketball) while committing 16.5 (239th in college basketball play).

Arkansas Performance Insights

• The Razorbacks put up 70 points per game (98th in college basketball) while allowing 77.6 per outing (356th in college basketball). They have a -182 scoring differential and have been outscored by 7.6 points per game.
• Arkansas comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 7.3 boards. It grabs 31.5 rebounds per game (220th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 38.8.
• Arkansas knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball) at a 31.4% rate (171st in college basketball), compared to the 7.9 its opponents make, shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc.
• Arkansas has committed 15 turnovers per game (146th in college basketball), 2.2 more than the 12.8 it forces (327th in college basketball).

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