Tuesday’s game that pits the No. 3 Florida Gators (20-3, 7-3 SEC) versus the No. 22 Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-6, 5-5 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 77-74 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Florida, who is slightly favored in this matchup according to our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on February 11.

According to our computer prediction, Florida is projected to cover the point spread (2.5) against Mississippi State. The two teams are expected to go under the 151.5 total.

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Florida vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Florida -2.5
• Point total: 151.5
• Moneyline (to win): Florida -134, Mississippi State +112

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Florida vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Florida 77, Mississippi State 74

Spread & Total Prediction for Florida vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Florida (-2.5)
• Pick OU: Under (151.5)

Florida has a 15-8-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Mississippi State, who is 10-13-0 ATS. The Gators have hit the over in 10 games, while Bulldogs games have gone over 13 times. The two teams combine to score 163.4 points per game, 11.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Florida has a 5-5 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over the past 10 contests. Mississippi State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Florida Performance Insights

• The Gators average 83.7 points per game (13th in college basketball) while allowing 66.4 per outing (44th in college basketball). They have a +397 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 17.3 points per game.
• Florida records 40.5 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 30.7 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 9.8 boards per game.
• Florida makes 9.3 three-pointers per game (53rd in college basketball) at a 34.2% rate (161st in college basketball), compared to the 6.4 per game its opponents make at a 28.2% rate.
• The Gators rank 42nd in college basketball with 102.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth in college basketball defensively with 81.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Florida forces 11.7 turnovers per game (165th in college basketball) while committing 10.7 (115th in college basketball play).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +193 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 8.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.7 points per game (57th in college basketball) while giving up 71.3 per outing (173rd in college basketball).
• The 35.5 rebounds per game Mississippi State accumulates rank 33rd in the country, 3.3 more than the 32.2 its opponents grab.
• Mississippi State knocks down 8.4 three-pointers per game (107th in college basketball) at a 32% rate (288th in college basketball), compared to the 8.7 its opponents make, shooting 36% from beyond the arc.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 3.2 per game, committing 9.9 (49th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.1.

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