Thursday’s contest between the Vanderbilt Commodores (18-6) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-8) squaring off at Memorial Gymnasium has a projected final score of 76-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Vanderbilt, who is listed as the favorite by our model. The game will start at 9:00 PM ET on February 13.

Based on our computer prediction, Mississippi State is projected to cover the point spread (8.5) against Vanderbilt. The two sides are projected to come in below the 147.5 over/under.

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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 13, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Nashville, Tennessee
• Venue: Memorial Gymnasium
• Line: Vanderbilt -8.5
• Point total: 147.5
• Moneyline (to win): Vanderbilt -450, Mississippi State +340

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Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Vanderbilt 76, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Vanderbilt vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Under (147.5)

Vanderbilt’s record against the spread so far this season is 5-6-0, while Mississippi State’s is 2-7-0. The Commodores are 5-5-0 and the Bulldogs are 4-5-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 161.1 points per game, 13.6 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 games, Vanderbilt is 5-5 against the spread and 5-5 overall while Mississippi State has gone 2-7 against the spread and 2-7 overall.

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Vanderbilt Performance Insights

• The Commodores average 84.5 points per game (seventh in college basketball) while allowing 65.4 per contest (205th in college basketball). They have a +458 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 19.1 points per game.
• Vanderbilt wins the rebound battle by 4.1 boards on average. It records 35.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 62nd in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.1 per outing.
• Vanderbilt hits 6.8 three-pointers per game (116th in college basketball) at a 32.8% rate (121st in college basketball), compared to the 5.8 its opponents make while shooting 30.1% from deep.
• The Commodores rank 15th in college basketball with 97.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 69th in college basketball defensively with 75.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Vanderbilt has committed 13.5 turnovers per game (62nd in college basketball play), 6.5 fewer than the 20.0 it forces on average (21st in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 14.0 points per game, with a +351 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.6 points per game (36th in college basketball) and give up 62.6 per outing (135th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 8.9 boards. It pulls down 37.9 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.0.
• Mississippi State makes 6.9 three-pointers per game (110th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.7. It shoots 33.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 30.5%.
• Mississippi State forces 16.3 turnovers per game (136th in college basketball) while committing 16.4 (245th in college basketball).

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