Texas vs. Mississippi State Women’s Basketball Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 27

Published 1:56 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

Thursday’s contest features the Texas Longhorns (27-2) and the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-9) matching up at Humphrey Coliseum in what is expected to be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 76-62 win for heavily favored Texas according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 7:30 p.m. ET on February 27.

According to our computer prediction, Mississippi State should cover the spread, which is listed at 14.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 138.5 over/under.

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Texas vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Texas -14.5
• Point total: 138.5
• Moneyline (to win): Texas -1587, Mississippi State +900

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Texas vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Texas 76, Mississippi State 62

Spread & Total Prediction for Texas vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Mississippi State (+14.5)
• Pick OU: Over (138.5)

Texas has a 10-12-0 record against the spread this season compared to Mississippi State, who is 3-7-0 ATS. In terms of hitting the over, games involving the Longhorns are 9-13-0 and the Bulldogs are 5-5-0. The two teams score an average of 158.5 points per game, 20.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Texas is 4-6 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its past 10 games, while Mississippi State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 3-7 overall.

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Texas Performance Insights

• The Longhorns average 81.8 points per game (10th in college basketball) while giving up 55.7 per contest (19th in college basketball). They have a +758 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 26.1 points per game.
• Texas wins the rebound battle by 11.7 boards on average. It collects 36.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 19th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 25.2 per outing.
• Texas connects on 3.3 three-pointers per game (354th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 3.6 on average.
• The Longhorns average 98.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (ninth in college basketball), and give up 67.0 points per 100 possessions (fourth in college basketball).
• Texas has committed 12.8 turnovers per game (42nd in college basketball play), 7.3 fewer than the 20.1 it forces on average (17th in college basketball).

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 13.7 points per game, with a +382 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.7 points per game (33rd in college basketball) and give up 63.0 per outing (140th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 9.3 boards on average. It records 38.4 rebounds per game, 10th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 29.1.
• Mississippi State connects on 6.9 three-pointers per game (110th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6. It shoots 32.5% from deep, and its opponents shoot 30.6%.
• Mississippi State and its opponents have been relatively even in the turnover battle. The Bulldogs commit 16.5 per game (259th in college basketball) and force 16.5 (116th in college basketball).

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