Sunday’s game at Neville Arena has the Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-10) squaring off against the Auburn Tigers (12-16) at 3 p.m. (on March 2). Our computer prediction projects a 70-66 victory for Mississippi State, who is a slight favorite based on our model.

According to our computer prediction, Auburn is a good bet to cover the point spread, which currently sits at 5.5. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 134.5 total.

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Game Info & Odds

• Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Time: 3 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network +
• Where: Auburn, Alabama
• Venue: Neville Arena
• Line: Mississippi State -5.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -225, Auburn +185

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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 70, Auburn 66

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Auburn

• Pick ATS: Auburn (+5.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Mississippi State has compiled a 4-7-0 record against the spread this season, while Auburn is 6-8-0. A total of five out of the Bulldogs’ games this season have hit the over, and seven of the Tigers’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 144.6 points per game, 10.1 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Mississippi State is 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall while Auburn has gone 4-6 against the spread and 1-9 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs’ +378 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 13 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.2 points per game (37th in college basketball) while allowing 63.2 per outing (146th in college basketball).
• The 38.2 rebounds per game Mississippi State averages rank ninth in the country, and are 8.9 more than the 29.3 its opponents pull down per outing.
• Mississippi State knocks down 6.8 three-pointers per game (118th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.6. It shoots 32.8% from deep while its opponents hit 31.1% from long range.
• The Bulldogs rank 67th in college basketball with 91 points scored per 100 possessions, and 68th in college basketball defensively with 75.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has committed 16.3 turnovers per game (242nd in college basketball play) while forcing 16.3 (125th in college basketball).

Auburn Performance Insights

• The Tigers put up 68.4 points per game (113th in college basketball) while allowing 64.5 per contest (180th in college basketball). They have a +107 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 3.9 points per game.
• Auburn pulls down 29.8 rebounds per game (279th in college basketball) while allowing 27.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.4 boards per game.
• Auburn connects on 1.4 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 3.7 (340th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.1.
• Auburn has committed three fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 16.3 (242nd in college basketball) while forcing 19.3 (24th in college basketball).

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