Best Bets, Predictions & Odds for the Mississippi State vs. Toledo Game – Saturday, Sept. 14

Published 8:23 pm Wednesday, September 11, 2024

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (1-1) will battle the Toledo Rockets (2-0) at Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field in Starkville, Mississippi. Keep reading for a glimpse at the odds and best bets for this contest.

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When and Where is Mississippi State vs. Toledo?

  • Date: Saturday, September 14, 2024
  • Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo
  • City: Starkville, Mississippi
  • Venue: Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field

Mississippi State vs. Toledo Prediction & Moneyline Pick

  • Prediction:
    Toledo 32, Mississippi State 25
  • Mississippi State is -450 on the moneyline, and Toledo is +341.
  • Mississippi State has been listed as the moneyline favorite only one other time so far this season, a game they won.
  • The Bulldogs have played in 12 games as a moneyline favorite with odds of -450 or shorter and won each time.
  • This is the first time Toledo will play as an underdog this season.
  • The Rockets have not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +341.
  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Bulldogs an 81.8% chance to win.

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Against the Spread Pick

  • Pick ATS:

    Toledo (+11.5)

  • This season Mississippi State has one win against the spread.
  • This season, the Bulldogs have won against the spread in each of their 12 games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
  • Toledo has one win against the spread in two games this season.

You can place your bet against the spread at BetMGM.

Best Over/Under Pick

  • Pick OU: Under (59.5)
  • The over/under for the contest of 59.5 is 23.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for Mississippi State (39.5 points per game) and Toledo (43.5 points per game).

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Key Stats Splits

Mississippi State

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 60.5 62.0 59.0
Implied Total AVG 38.0 44.0 32.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Over/Under Record 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

Toledo

Overall Home Away
Point Total AVG 52.5 52.5
Implied Total AVG 38.0 38.0
ATS Record 1-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0
Over/Under Record 2-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

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