Mississippi State vs. Texas Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Saturday, Sept. 28

Published 6:50 pm Thursday, September 26, 2024

When the No. 1 Texas Longhorns play the Mississippi State Bulldogs at 4:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Sept. 28, our computer model predicts the Longhorns will win the game. Our model also projects the spead, point total, and final score, which you can read below.

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Mississippi State vs. Texas Predictions and Picks

ATS Pick Total Pick Score Prediction
Mississippi State (+38.5) Under (62.5) Texas 38, Mississippi State 19

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Mississippi State Betting Info (2024)

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  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Bulldogs have a 7.0% chance to win.
  • The Bulldogs are 1-3-0 against the spread this year.
  • Three of the Bulldogs’ four games with a set total have hit the over (75%).
  • Mississippi State games this season have averaged a total of 59.1 points, 3.4 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Texas Betting Info (2024)

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Longhorns a 99.0% chance to win.
  • The Longhorns are 4-0-0 against the spread this season.
  • Texas has a perfect 1-0 ATS record when playing as at least 38.5-point favorites.
  • Out of four Longhorns games so far this season, three have hit the over.
  • The over/under in this game is 62.5 points, 9.0 higher than the average total in Texas games this season.

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Bulldogs vs. Longhorns 2024 Scoring Averages

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Texas 47.5 5.5 53.0 3.3 31.0 12.0
Mississippi State 31 30.8 33.7 31.0 23.0 30.0

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