Based on our computer model, the Kansas City Chiefs will beat the New Orleans Saints when they square off at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, Oct. 7 (at 8:15 p.m. ET). We have a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score, available below.

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The Chiefs are putting up 23 points per game on offense (15th in NFL), and they rank eighth on the other side of the ball with 18 points allowed per game. With 349 total yards per game on the offensive side of the ball, the Saints rank 12th in the NFL in 2024. On defense, they rank 16th, surrendering 330.3 total yards per game.

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Saints vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Saints Betting Info

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 33.3% chance of a victory for the Saints.
• New Orleans has put together a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Saints have won their only game this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.
• New Orleans games have hit the over three out of four times this season.
• The average total points scored in Saints games (postseason included) this year (43) is 1.9 points higher than the total for this matchup.

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Chiefs Betting Info

• The Chiefs have an implied moneyline win probability of 71.4% in this contest.
• Kansas City has covered twice in four games with a spread this season.
• The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• This season, games featuring the Chiefs have gone over the point total twice.
• The average total for Chiefs games this season (playoffs included) has been 45.4, 2.4 points higher than the total for this game.

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Saints vs. Chiefs 2024 Scoring Insights

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