Thursday’s game between the No. 25 Mississippi State Bulldogs (5-0) and the UNLV Rebels (4-1) at Mullett Arena has a projected final score of 80-73 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Mississippi State squad securing the victory. Tipoff is at 9:30 PM ET on November 28.

According to our computer prediction, UNLV is a good bet to cover the spread, which is currently listed at 7.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 144.5 over/under.

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Mississippi State vs. UNLV Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, November 28, 2024
• Time: 9:30 PM ET
• TV: CBS Sports Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Live stream: Watch this game on Paramount+ (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Tempe, Arizona
• Venue: Mullett Arena
• Line: Mississippi State -7.5
• Point total: 144.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -360, UNLV +280

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Mississippi State vs. UNLV Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 80, UNLV 73

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. UNLV

• Pick ATS: UNLV (+7.5)
• Pick OU: Over (144.5)

Mississippi State has compiled a 3-2-0 record against the spread this season, while UNLV is 1-3-0. The Bulldogs have gone over the point total in four games, while Rebels games have gone over one time. The teams average 167.4 points per game, 22.9 more points than this matchup’s total.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +101 scoring differential, topping opponents by 20.2 points per game. They’re putting up 87.6 points per game to rank 24th in college basketball and are giving up 67.4 per contest to rank 110th in college basketball.
• Mississippi State is 111th in college basketball at 35.4 rebounds per game. That’s 1.4 more than the 34.0 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State makes 9.2 three-pointers per game (89th in college basketball) at a 33.6% rate (179th in college basketball), compared to the 7.0 per game its opponents make at a 31.0% rate.
• The Bulldogs rank 34th in college basketball with 106.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 61st in college basketball defensively with 82.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 6.8 per game, committing 8.4 (fifth in college basketball) while its opponents average 15.2.

UNLV Performance Insights

• The Rebels’ +47 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 79.8 points per game (119th in college basketball) while allowing 70.4 per outing (170th in college basketball).
• UNLV is 234th in the country at 32.2 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 32.4 its opponents average.
• UNLV knocks down 8.0 three-pointers per game (166th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.8. It shoots 38.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 35.8%.
• UNLV has won the turnover battle by 4.4 per game, committing 9.2 (27th in college basketball) while forcing 13.6 (108th in college basketball).

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