Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 6

Published 7:16 am Monday, January 6, 2025

The Dallas Mavericks (20-15) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (23-13) after losing three road games in a row. The Grizzlies are favored by 5.5 points in the contest, which starts at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, January 6, 2025.

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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Monday, January 6, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: KFAA and FDSSE
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Memphis, Tennessee
  • Venue: FedExForum

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Grizzlies vs. Mavericks Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Grizzlies 119 – Mavericks 115

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Spread & Total Prediction for Grizzlies vs. Mavericks

  • Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 5.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Grizzlies (-4.4)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (231.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 233.5
  • The Mavericks (19-16-0 ATS) have covered the spread 63.9% of the time, 9.6% less often than the Grizzlies (23-13-0) this season.
  • As a 5.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Memphis is 9-5 against the spread compared to the 1-2 ATS record Dallas racks up as a 5.5-point underdog.
  • Memphis and its opponents have eclipsed the over/under 63.9% of the time this season (23 out of 36). That’s more often than Dallas and its opponents have (18 out of 35).
  • As a moneyline favorite this year, the Grizzlies are 18-6, a better tally than the Mavericks have recorded (6-7) as moneyline underdogs.

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

  • The Grizzlies own a top-five offense this season, ranking best in the league with 123.2 points per game. Defensively, they rank 21st with 115 points allowed per contest.
  • Memphis is allowing 43.3 rebounds per game this year (ninth-ranked in NBA), but it has thrived by averaging 48.5 rebounds per contest (second-best).
  • The Grizzlies have been one of the best teams in the league when it comes to assists, as they are averaging 30.5 per game (second-best in NBA).
  • Although Memphis is averaging 16.6 turnovers per game (second-worst in NBA), it ranks fifth-best in the league by forcing 15.8 turnovers per contest.
  • With 14.1 three-pointers per game, the Grizzlies rank 10th in the NBA. They sport a 37% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 11th in the league.

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Mavericks Performance Insights

  • The Mavericks are eighth in the league in points scored (116.7 per game) and 14th in points allowed (112.1).
  • Dallas collects 44.8 rebounds per game and concede 44.1 boards, ranking 12th and 15th, respectively, in the league.
  • The Mavericks are 20th in the league in assists (25 per game) in 2024-25.
  • Dallas is 15th in the NBA in turnovers per game (13.8) and 20th in turnovers forced (13.4).
  • At 13.3 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 37.3% from beyond the arc, the Mavericks are 17th and ninth in the league, respectively, in those categories.

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