Saturday’s contest features the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-1, 2-0 SEC) and the No. 6 Kentucky Wildcats (12-3, 1-1 SEC) matching up at Humphrey Coliseum (on January 11) at 8:30 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in an 80-77 win for Mississippi State.

Based on our computer prediction, Kentucky projects to cover the 4.5-point spread in its matchup versus Mississippi State. The over/under has been set at 161.5, and the two sides are projected to come in below that total.

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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Mississippi State -4.5
• Point total: 161.5
• Moneyline (to win): Mississippi State -184, Kentucky +152

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Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Mississippi State 80, Kentucky 77

Spread & Total Prediction for Mississippi State vs. Kentucky

• Pick ATS: Kentucky (+4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (161.5)

Mississippi State’s record against the spread this season is 9-6-0, while Kentucky’s is 7-8-0. The Bulldogs have a 7-8-0 record hitting the over, while games involving the Wildcats have a record of 8-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The teams average 172.3 points per game, 10.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Mississippi State is 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall over its last 10 contests, while Kentucky has gone 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs have a +254 scoring differential, topping opponents by 17 points per game. They’re putting up 83.5 points per game to rank 28th in college basketball and are giving up 66.5 per contest to rank 61st in college basketball.
• Mississippi State is 23rd in college basketball at 37.1 rebounds per game. That’s 5.9 more than the 31.2 its opponents average.
• Mississippi State makes 8.7 three-pointers per game (99th in college basketball), 1.4 more than its opponents (7.3). It is shooting 34.2% from beyond the arc (161st in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 32.8%.
• The Bulldogs rank 30th in college basketball with 105.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 34th in college basketball defensively with 83.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Mississippi State has won the turnover battle by 4.7 turnovers per game, committing 9.2 (15th in college basketball action) while forcing 13.9 (49th in college basketball).

Kentucky Performance Insights

• The Wildcats outscore opponents by 14.9 points per game (posting 88.8 points per game, third in college basketball, and allowing 73.9 per outing, 249th in college basketball) and have a +223 scoring differential.
• Kentucky ranks 26th in the country at 36.7 rebounds per game. That’s 3.6 more than the 33.1 its opponents average.
• Kentucky knocks down 9.8 three-pointers per game (40th in college basketball) while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc (89th in college basketball). It is making 2.3 more threes than its opponents, who drain 7.5 per game at 28.1%.
• Kentucky has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing nine per game (seventh in college basketball) while forcing 10.7 (282nd in college basketball).

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