Tuesday’s game that pits the No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (16-2, 3-2 SEC) versus the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3, 3-2 SEC) at Thompson-Boling Arena has a projected final score of 76-68 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of Tennessee, who is the favorite in this matchup by our model. Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET on January 21.

According to our computer prediction, the Tennessee versus Mississippi State game has a predicted spread that equals the actual spread (7.5). The two sides are projected to eclipse the 139.5 total.

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Tuesday, January 21, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN2
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Knoxville, Tennessee
• Venue: Thompson-Boling Arena
• Line: Tennessee -7.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): Tennessee -310, Mississippi State +245

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Tennessee vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Tennessee 76, Mississippi State 68

Spread & Total Prediction for Tennessee vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Pick Em
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)

Tennessee is 11-7-0 against the spread this season compared to Mississippi State’s 9-9-0 ATS record. In terms of going over the point total, games involving the Volunteers are 7-11-0 and the Bulldogs are 10-8-0. The two teams score an average of 159.7 points per game, 20.2 more points than this matchup’s total. In the last 10 contests, Tennessee has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall. Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Tennessee Performance Insights

• The Volunteers’ +325 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 18 points per game) is a result of scoring 76.8 points per game (128th in college basketball) while allowing 58.8 per outing (fourth in college basketball).
• Tennessee prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 9.3 boards. It is collecting 35.5 rebounds per game (50th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 26.2 per outing.
• Tennessee makes 8.7 three-pointers per game (96th in college basketball) while shooting 34.9% from deep (122nd in college basketball). It is making 2.1 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 6.6 per game while shooting 25.5%.
• The Volunteers rank 66th in college basketball by averaging 101.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are second in college basketball, allowing 77.6 points per 100 possessions.
• Tennessee wins the turnover battle by 2.2 per game, committing 10.2 (58th in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.4.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 12.8 points per game, with a +230 scoring differential overall. They put up 82.9 points per game (25th in college basketball) and allow 70.1 per contest (135th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 6.1 boards on average. It collects 37.4 rebounds per game, 12th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 31.3.
• Mississippi State knocks down 8.6 three-pointers per game (104th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.3 on average.
• Mississippi State wins the turnover battle by 3.8 per game, committing 9.6 (25th in college basketball) while its opponents average 13.4.

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