Wednesday’s contest between the No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (17-3, 6-1 SEC) and the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-4, 4-3 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum has a projected final score of 82-78 based on our computer prediction, with Alabama securing the victory. Game time is at 9:00 PM ET on January 29.

According to our computer prediction, Alabama is projected to cover the point spread (1.5) versus Mississippi State. The two sides are expected to come in below the 164.5 over/under.

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, January 29, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM ET
• TV: SEC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Starkville, Mississippi
• Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
• Line: Alabama -1.5
• Point total: 164.5
• Moneyline (to win): Alabama -111, Mississippi State -108

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Alabama vs. Mississippi State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Alabama 82, Mississippi State 78

Spread & Total Prediction for Alabama vs. Mississippi State

• Pick ATS: Alabama (-1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (164.5)

Alabama is 11-9-0 against the spread, while Mississippi State’s ATS record this season is 9-11-0. The Crimson Tide are 11-9-0 and the Bulldogs are 10-10-0 in terms of going over the point total. The teams combine to score 171.1 points per game, 6.6 more points than this matchup’s total. Alabama has a 7-3 record against the spread while going 9-1 overall in the last 10 contests. Mississippi State has gone 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Alabama Performance Insights

• The Crimson Tide average 90.4 points per game (first in college basketball) while giving up 78.5 per outing (332nd in college basketball). They have a +237 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 11.9 points per game.
• Alabama is third in the nation at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 7.6 more than the 33.0 its opponents average.
• Alabama hits 9.9 three-pointers per game (32nd in college basketball) while shooting 32.5% from beyond the arc (248th in college basketball). It is making 3.0 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 6.9 per game while shooting 29.1%.
• The Crimson Tide rank 39th in college basketball by averaging 103.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 123rd in college basketball, allowing 89.6 points per 100 possessions.
• Alabama loses the turnover battle by 1.6 per game, committing 12.1 (259th in college basketball) while its opponents average 10.5.

Mississippi State Performance Insights

• The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 11.2 points per game, with a +223 scoring differential overall. They put up 80.7 points per game (43rd in college basketball) and allow 69.5 per contest (117th in college basketball).
• Mississippi State wins the rebound battle by 4.3 boards on average. It records 36.3 rebounds per game, 27th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 32.0.
• Mississippi State makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (101st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8.2. It shoots 32.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.4%.
• Mississippi State has come up on top in the turnover battle by 3.4 per game, committing 10.0 (49th in college basketball) while forcing 13.4 (58th in college basketball).

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