Grizzlies vs. Spurs Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – March 1

Published 7:16 am Saturday, March 1, 2025

The San Antonio Spurs (24-33) visit the Memphis Grizzlies (38-21) after losing four straight road games. The Grizzlies are favored by 9.5 points in the contest, which starts at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1, 2025.

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Grizzlies vs. Spurs Game Info & Odds

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025
Time: 8 p.m. ET
How to watch on TV: FDSSE and KENS
Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
Location: Memphis, Tennessee
Venue: FedExForum

Grizzlies vs. Spurs Score Prediction

Prediction:
Grizzlies 123 – Spurs 111

Spread & Total Prediction for Grizzlies vs. Spurs

Pick ATS: Grizzlies (- 9.5)
Computer Predicted Spread: Grizzlies (-11.8)
Pick OU:
Under (242.5)
Computer Predicted Total: 233.3

The Grizzlies (35-24-0 ATS) have covered the spread 59.3% of the time, 17.2% more often than the Spurs (24-33-0) this season.
As a 9.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Memphis is 8-2 against the spread compared to the 2-1 ATS record San Antonio racks up as a 9.5-point underdog.
San Antonio and its opponents have eclipsed the point total 52.6% of the time this season (30 out of 57). That’s less often than Memphis and its opponents have (37 out of 59).
The Grizzlies have a .769 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (30-9) this season, higher than the .282 winning percentage for the Spurs as a moneyline underdog (11-28).

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Grizzlies Performance Insights

The Grizzlies are surrendering 116.5 points per game this year (25th-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really played well offensively, scoring 123.1 points per contest (best).
Memphis is top-five this season in rebounding, ranking second-best in the league with 47.7 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 12th with 43.4 rebounds allowed per contest.
The Grizzlies have been one of the best teams in the league in terms of assists, as they are dishing out 29 per game (third-best in NBA).
Memphis has struggled in terms of turnovers this season, ranking second-worst in the NBA with 15.7 turnovers per game. On the other hand, it ranks fifth-best in the league with 15 forced turnovers per game.
With 13.9 threes per game, the Grizzlies rank 11th in the NBA. They own a 36.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 10th in the league.

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Spurs Performance Insights

The Spurs are 18th in the NBA in points scored (112.4 per game) and 19th in points conceded (114.5).
San Antonio is 13th in the NBA in rebounds per game (44.7) and third-worst in rebounds conceded (46.9).
This season the Spurs are ranked sixth in the league in assists at 28.9 per game.
In terms of turnovers, San Antonio is 15th in the NBA in committing them (13.5 per game). It is 21st in forcing them (13 per game).
The Spurs make 13.6 3-pointers per game and shoot 34.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 12th and 25th, respectively, in the NBA.

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